SUMMARY: Prostate cancer is the most common cancer in American men with the exclusion of skin cancer, and 1 in 8 men will be diagnosed with prostate cancer during their lifetime. It is estimated that in the United States, about 299,010 new cases of prostate cancer will be diagnosed in 2024 and 35,250 men will die of the disease. The development and progression of prostate cancer is driven by androgens. Androgen Deprivation Therapy (ADT) or testosterone suppression has therefore been the cornerstone of treatment of advanced prostate cancer, and is the first treatment intervention.
Metastatic prostate cancer remains a significant concern in the United States, being the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths among men. Over recent years, the incidence of metastatic prostate cancer has notably increased. For men diagnosed with metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer (mHSPC), survival rates have improved with the introduction of Androgen Receptor Signaling Inhibitors (ARSIs) and chemotherapy. These therapeutic advancements, used in conjunction with androgen suppression, have demonstrated survival benefits, though patient outcomes remain highly variable. In previous studies, treatment intensification has been deemed justified based on tumor histology and radiographic disease burden, but these criteria have not consistently predicted outcomes, underscoring the urgent need for robust new, noninvasive, prognostic biomarkers.
Liquid biopsy, a noninvasive method of analyzing blood-based biomarkers, has emerged as a promising tool for early cancer detection, prognosis, personalized treatment decisions, and disease monitoring. In particular, Circulating Tumor Cells (CTCs)-cancer cells shed from primary or metastatic tumors into the bloodstream-offer a dynamic snapshot of disease status and have shown promise as biomarkers for prognosis, disease monitoring, and personalized treatment decisions. While CTCs have been extensively studied in metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer (mCRPC), their role in mHSPC remains underexplored.
The S1216 trial is a prospective, multicenter, Phase 3, randomized clinical trial, conducted by SWOG in collaboration with the National Cancer Institute (NCI) and other research groups, to determine whether incorporating baseline CTC enumeration could serve as a reliable biomarker for predicting long-term outcomes, aiding in the identification of patients who may benefit from treatment intensification or novel therapeutic regimens. The primary goal of this study is to evaluate the prognostic value of Circulating Tumor Cell (CTC) counts in men with mHSPC, particularly their association with Overall Survival (OS).
The S1216 trial included 1313 men with newly diagnosed mHSPC, randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive Androgen Deprivation Therapy (ADT) combined with either Orteronel, a CYP17 inhibitor that blocks androgen biosynthesis, or Bicalutamide, a nonsteroidal anti-androgen. ADT was administered using a Luteinizing Hormone-Releasing Hormone agonist, and Bicalutamide was given at a dose of 50 mg once daily, while Orteronel was administered at 300 mg twice daily. Treatment allocation was stratified based on disease severity, timing of ADT initiation prior to or after enrollment, and Zubrod Performance Status.
A key component of the trial was the collection and analysis of liquid biopsy samples, particularly CTC enumeration, at baseline and at disease progression to mCRPC. These blood samples were processed using the CellSearch platform, the only FDA-cleared system for CTC enumeration. The platform employs immunomagnetic beads that bind to epithelial cell adhesion molecules (EpCAM) on the surface of CTCs, enriching the sample for CTCs. After isolation, the CTCs were stained with specific markers to distinguish them from non-tumor cells: Cytokeratins (CK) markers for epithelial cells, CD45, a leukocyte antigen, used to exclude non-cancerous white blood cells, and DAPI, a nuclear stain to identify cells with intact nuclei. CTC counts were categorized into three groups: 0, 1-4, and 5 or more CTCs per 7.5 mL of blood. This categorization was based on findings from prior research in mCRPC, where higher CTC counts were associated with worse clinical outcomes. The goal was to determine whether a similar association could be observed in men with mHSPC. The Primary outcome of the study was Overall Survival (OS), with secondary outcomes including Progression-Free Survival (PFS) and Prostate-Specific Antigen (PSA) levels at 7 months.
Of the 1313 trial participants, 503 men had evaluable blood samples for CTC analysis at baseline. The results of the study showed that higher baseline CTC counts were strongly associated with worse clinical outcomes. Patients with 5 or more CTCs had a median OS of 27.9 months, compared with 56.2 months for men with 1-4 CTCs, and median OS of more than 78 months for men with 0 CTCs (median not reached). A similar trend was observed for PFS, with men who had 5 or more CTCs showing a significantly higher risk of disease progression. After adjusting for baseline clinical covariates, men with 5 or more CTCs were 3.22 times more likely to die during the study period and 2.46 times more likely to have their cancer progress, and had a lower odds of achieving a complete PSA response, compared to men with 0 CTCs at baseline.
This study demonstrates that baseline CTC count is a powerful, independent prognostic biomarker for men with mHSPC. CTC enumeration at the start of therapy can help identify men at higher risk of poor survival, even before the disease progresses to mCRPC. This information is particularly valuable for selecting patients for clinical trials of more aggressive or novel therapies. By identifying high-risk patients early, clinicians can potentially intensify treatment upfront, before PSA levels or clinical symptoms worsen.
In summary, CTC count provides critical insights into the biological behavior of metastatic prostate cancer and offers a noninvasive method for stratifying patients based on their risk of poor outcomes. Future research may expand the role of liquid biopsy beyond CTC enumeration to include molecular profiling of CTCs and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), enabling even more precise and personalized treatment strategies.
Circulating Tumor Cell Count and Overall Survival in Patients With Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer. Goldkorn A, Tangen C, Plets M, et al. JAMA Netw Open. 2024;7(10):e2437871. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.37871